2024-12-14 00:24:22
Analyst Curran: There are almost no surprises in today's CPI data. The housing index rose by 0.3% in November, accounting for nearly 40% of the monthly increase in all projects.Guangdong, Hong Kong and Macao signed a new round of strategic agreement on the development of the accounting industry. On the 11th, Guangdong Institute of Certified Public Accountants, Hong Kong Institute of Certified Public Accountants, Hong Kong Association of Auditors of Listed Companies, Macao Accounting Professional Association, certified public accountants associations in nine cities in Greater Bay Area and 188 accounting firms in Guangdong, Hong Kong and Macao jointly signed the Strategic Agreement on the Development of the Accounting Industry in Guangdong, Hong Kong and Macao (2024). (Xinhua News Agency)Before the release of CPI in the United States, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December was 86.1%. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability of the Fed keeping the current interest rate unchanged by December was 13.9%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points was 86.1%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 10.6%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 69.1%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 20.2%.
The core inflation in the United States remained stable, increasing by 0.3% for the fourth consecutive month, and the CPI in the United States continued to rise in November, which aggravated people's concerns that the process of curbing inflation was stagnant. Data released on Wednesday showed that the core CPI excluding food and energy costs rose by 0.3% for the fourth consecutive month. Compared with a year ago, it has increased by 3.3%. After the data is released, it is still very likely that Fed policymakers will cut interest rates at next week's meeting. Although the price pressure has dropped from the peak during the pandemic recovery, the recent progress has stabilized. This, coupled with the fading concerns about the labor market, helps explain why several Fed officials advocate a more gradual rate cut.After this year's acquisition frenzy, BlackRock may seek to further expand in the private equity market. The momentum of BlackRock, the world's largest asset management company, may continue, because it is expected that the company will seek further expansion in the fields of private credit, real estate, infrastructure or private equity. BlackRock announced last week that it plans to acquire private credit company HPS Investment Partners for about $12 billion, which is BlackRock's third major acquisition this year. Larry Fink, CEO of BlackRock, said that the transaction will enable the two companies to provide the integration of private equity and open market investment products. Financial sources and analysts said that in the future, BlackRock may enhance its influence in the private equity market through further acquisitions. Goals may include expanding private credit or increasing private equity, so that BlackRock can better compete with large enterprises in alternative investment fields.German Chancellor Angela Scholz submitted an application for a vote of confidence, and German Chancellor Angela Scholz sent a request to Parliament on Wednesday to hold a vote of confidence on December 16th, thus paving the way for early federal elections next year. Since the collapse of the coalition of political parties led by Scholz, the policy-making in Europe's largest economy has basically stagnated. If, as expected, Scholz loses the vote of confidence, he must ask the President to dissolve Parliament and hold a new election. Scholz and the opposition parties unanimously agreed to hold a general election on February 23rd next year. Last week, French Prime Minister Banier lost in a vote of no confidence, which highlighted the unusual political instability faced by these two European powers.
Chris, analyst: After the US CPI was released, the US stock index futures once hit an intraday high, but the market reaction was still quite dull.Analysts commented on the US CPI in November: It is still a consensus that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points again. JOSH HIRT, a senior American economist at VANGUARD, said: "The US CPI data in November confirmed the market consensus that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points again. We are still paying close attention to the strength of the labor market and the potential inflationary stickiness of some components of inflation (housing and services) before 2025. "After the release of CPI data in the United States, the yield of euro zone bonds fell by about 1 basis point, and the yield of German 10-year bonds is now flat at 2.116%.
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
Strategy guide